Tuesday, October 06, 2009

The demise of the dollar.

Robert Fisk is reporting in this morning's Independent that China, Russia, Japan and France have been having secret meetings to end the world's oil trading in dollars and move towards trading in a basket of currencies, "including the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan, the euro, gold and a new, unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Co-operation Council, including Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar."

In what would be the greatest shake up of the modern financial system since the Bretton Woods agreement after the Second World War, this is dynamite and an indication that the world might soon have to accept that it is working with a new financial map.

The decline of American economic power linked to the current global recession was implicitly acknowledged by the World Bank president Robert Zoellick. "One of the legacies of this crisis may be a recognition of changed economic power relations," he said in Istanbul ahead of meetings this week of the IMF and World Bank. But it is China's extraordinary new financial power – along with past anger among oil-producing and oil-consuming nations at America's power to interfere in the international financial system – which has prompted the latest discussions involving the Gulf states.
This is a serious challenge to American control of the Middle East. Indeed, the only thing which makes me think China will have to tread slowly here is that China is so heavily invested in the dollar at the moment, having spent billions over the past decade buying up dollar assets.

But it does look as if serious moves are afoot to move international transactions away from the dollar and towards the Euro and other currencies.

The last person to announce that he wasn't going to trade in the dollar in oil transactions, but would instead move to the Euro, was Saddam. Within months US and UK tanks were rolling into Baghdad.

But Chinese banking officials say that things have gone too far to now be reversed:
"The Russians will eventually bring in the rouble to the basket of currencies," a prominent Hong Kong broker told The Independent. "The Brits are stuck in the middle and will come into the euro. They have no choice because they won't be able to use the US dollar."

Chinese financial sources believe President Barack Obama is too busy fixing the US economy to concentrate on the extraordinary implications of the transition from the dollar in nine years' time. The current deadline for the currency transition is 2018.


"These plans will change the face of international financial transactions," one Chinese banker said. "America and Britain must be very worried. You will know how worried by the thunder of denials this news will generate."
I'm not sure that I agree with the "Chinese financial sources" who think that Obama will be too busy fixing the US economy to concentrate on this. I think this will take up rather a lot of his attention.

But, should this come to pass in nine years time, it would be wrong for those on the right to lay the blame for this at the door of Obama. It will have been the credit crunch which occurred on George Bush's watch which laid the financial foundations for this to even be considered a possibility.

UPDATE:

The Independents leading article talks of why it is important to China that this process be carried out carefully and without a rush:
For the past decade Beijing has been recycling the proceeds of its giant national trade surplus into purchases of US government bonds and other dollar-denominated assets. China too stands to make a significant loss if the value of the dollar falls. For China, however, the timing is much more sensitive. Beijing needs to reduce its dollar holdings, but if it does so too quickly it will bring about the very devaluation it fears. This explains why Chinese officials appear to want this transition to take place gradually over the next decade.
They are simply, as I suspected, too heavily invested in the dollar to risk any action which might devalue it.

Click title for full article.

"Compassionate" Conservatism.

Here is the new face of the "compassionate" Conservative Party:

Cameron:

Within three years of being elected, the Tories want all 2.6 million people on incapacity benefit to be assessed to see what work they could do and offered training or other help in getting work.

They expect about 500,000 claimants to be found jobs or transferred to jobseeker's allowance, which pays £25 a week less.
Of course, Cameron is only able to get away with this crap because Brown - in a pointless attempt to win back the long gone Daily Mail reader - is also talking about targeting incapacity benefit. But Brown should know that when it comes to depriving the poor, the Tories leave Labour in the shade as the amateurs that they are. The Tories actually enjoy this work much more than Labour ever could. They see themselves as walking in Thatcher's shadow at moment's like this.

But what do the Tories still defend whilst they attack people on incapacity benefit? Well, let's leave that to Boris... They still want to defend the bankers and deregulation:

"I know how unpopular these bankers are," he said. "I know how far out I am on this limb in sticking up for these pariahs.

"But never forget, all you would-be banker bashers that the leper colony in the City of London produces 9% of UK GDP, 13% of value added and taxes that pay for roads and schools and hospitals across this country.

"And that is why I am willing to take the fight to our friends and partners in Brussels against ill thought-out regulation."

Ah, so regulation is the enemy, because a lack of regulation hasn't caused us any harm so far has it? But those bloody scroungers on incapacity benefit? Scum of the Earth.

This is the new, "compassionate" Conservative party showing it's face.

They attack some of the poorest members of society - because some of them are on the fiddle - whilst defending the richest members of society and their methods, despite the fact that the rich bankers have cost this country billions more over the past few months than the combined number of people currently receiving incapacity benefit could ever dream of taking from the tax payer.

Those are their priorities.

Compassionate conservatism? My arse. It sounds exactly the same as any conservative team ever before assembled. Apologise and defend the privileged always, whilst attacking and depriving the poor whenever possible.

And, whilst attacking the poor, take care to remind everyone just how hard done by you are.

Conservative MP Alan Duncan on how hard it is to survive on an MP's wages in today's Commons:

"No one who has done anything in the outside world, or is capable of doing such a thing, will ever come into this place ever again, the way we are going," he said.

"Basically, it's being nationalised, you have to live on rations and are treated like s**t," he added.

"Those bastards on incapacity benefit are the ones taking all the dough. It's the poor city bankers and MP's wot are getting screwed!"

Monday, October 05, 2009

UN delays action on Gaza war report.

I suspected something like this might happen. The Palestinians have withdrawn their support for the Goldstone resolution, accusing Israel of committing war crimes, and the UN will now delay the vote on whether to send the report to the UN security council for further action until March of this year.

Again, unsurprisingly, Obama's hands are behind the pressure being heaped upon the Palestinians.

The Palestinian reversal came after "intense diplomacy" by Washington, which told the Palestinians that going ahead with the vote would harm efforts to restart peace talks with the Israelis, according to diplomats quoted by news agencies.

"The Palestinians recognised that this was not the best time to go forward with this," the official said.

I said at the time that Obama would be wise to use this as one of the many ways in which he can bring pressure on Netanyahu to drag him to the table for peace talks. Other ways include removing American funding and withdrawing the American veto at the UN for matters relating to the Middle East.

It is notable for instance that this resolution has not been removed from the table, merely postponed until March of next year, giving Netanyahu six months to come to his senses before the matter comes before the UN again.

However, Imad Zuhairi, the deputy Palestinian ambassador in Geneva, said the report "remains alive" and would be debated next spring. The delay "is not a victory for Israel", he added.

No doubt Obama felt that pushing forward with this would kill any chance he has of getting the Israelis and the Palestinians back around the table, but he must also be careful that Israel don't see this as yet another indication that the US will avoid them ever being held to account in that chamber.

Obama needs to push hard behind the scenes to spell out to Netanyahu that this could all come back to haunt him.

Netanyahu's speech to the UN on this matter was little short of disgraceful, where he attacked the UN itself for daring to criticise Israeli actions; and where he failed to deal with any of the specific charges made in the report and, instead, responded with a broadside defence which basically stated that the United Nations were on the side of terrorists.
Israel justly defended itself against terror. This biased and unjust report is a clear-cut test for all governments. Will you stand with Israel or will you stand with the terrorists?
So, maybe Obama wants to use this to pressure Netanyahu to the table. That is all we can hope. For if anyone accepted the travesty of Netanyahu's argument, then the UN would be disgraced, but not for the reasons Netanyahu claims.

Click title for full article.

Rachel Maddow: The Right Needs to Answer for What's Happened to Conservatism.



It's simply hysterical to listen to Mike Murphy deride criticism of the fact that Palin has chosen a white supremacist to co-author her book as "guilt by association".

Em, Reverend Wright? Bill Ayers? I mean, is this guy for real?

And Murphy's notion, that the insane wing of the Republican party don't carry the sway which the media assumes, is simply deceitful, as Maddow points out:

MURPHY: Yeah. No, no, look, she has a constituency. She'll never be the nominee, I totally agree with David. I agree with Steve Schmidt, it would be actually a disaster if she was the nominee. I do wish my friend Steve felt that a year ago when a lot of people were asking John McCain to put her on the ticket. But the truth is--and I'm going to agree with David here, too--the noisiest parts of kind of the conservative media machine have far less influence than the mainstream media machine that covers the Republican world thinks they do. These radio guys can't deliver a pizza, let alone a nomination.
What planet is Murphy on? Sarah Palin was made the Republican party Vice Presidential nominee precisely to assuage the nutter wing of that party. How can he seriously claim that they have no sway when McCain was forced to put her a 72 year old heartbeat away from the nuclear codes because he was not considered right wing enough by that very section of the party?

As Maddow rightly points out here, Sarah Palin didn't achieve her current position in the Republican hierarchy on her own: she was appointed by McCain. And he did so to bring on board the very wing of the Republican movement which Murphy is arguing have less power than we all assume.

Hat tip to Crooks and Liars.

Waitrose dumps Fox News in protest over remarks about Barack Obama.

The row over Glenn Beck and his remarks that Obama is a racist have managed to cross the pond, with Waitrose, one of Britain's most upmarket supermarket chains, withdrawing advertising from Fox News in protest over what Beck said.

Beck's outburst prompted dozens of companies – among them Wal-Mart, Best Buy and Travelocity – to withdraw their adverts from his show for fear that their businesses might become tainted by association.

Now Waitrose, which advertises on the channel carried by Sky in Britain, has followed suit after customers complained about the Glenn Beck Show.

An angry Waitrose shopper who emailed the chain to express his distaste over its decision "to be associated with this particular form of rightwing cant" received an apology last week.

"We take the placement of our ads in individual programmes very seriously, ensuring the content of these programmes is deemed appropriate for a brand with our values," said a customer services spokesman. "Since being notified of our presence within the Glenn Beck programme, we have withdrawn all Waitrose advertising from the Fox News channel with immediate effect and for all future TV advertising campaigns."

A spokesman for the supermarket, which is part of the John Lewis Partnership, could not tell the Guardian how many complaints had been received over the matter. "We believe it was the right thing to do," he said, adding: "We take the views of our customers seriously."

Maybe I'm reading too much into this, but that sounds to me as if Waitrose are going further than a lot of other companies. Most company's simply request that their adverts not be shown during the Glenn Beck show, but Waitrose state, "we have withdrawn all Waitrose advertising from the Fox News channel with immediate effect".

If more company's did this then Fox really would have to start paying attention because this would seriously start to hurt Fox where it matters: in their pockets.

I'll have to start shopping at Waitrose to show my support for their stance.

Meanwhile, in the United States, James Carville skewered Beck for his blatant hypocrisy:

"I think he's nuts, OK?," the outspoken Democrat said Sunday on CNN's "State of the Union,"

"Just out-and-out nuts. And I also think that he's a blatant hypocrite," Carville said. "Here's somebody that sits on his show … weeping about how much he loves America and … and then he's absolutely giddy when his country doesn't get the Olympics."

On that same show Lyndsey Graham distanced the Republican party from Beck:

"[H]e doesn't represent the Republican Party," Graham said of Beck, "When a person says he represents conservatism and that the country is better off with Barack Obama than John McCain, that sort of ends the debate for me as to how much more I'm going to listen."

I know some will argue that this only proves that Beck stands for individualism rather than either political party, but I disagree. This proves that Beck stands for nothing other than the advancement of Glenn Beck. He can't own a thought for a second. He's simply a provocateur. How else, as Carville points out, can you weep about how much you love your country and then cheer when it fails to win the Olympics? There's no logic to that. Unless the real thing that's fuelling him is hatred for Obama? That's the only way to make sense of those contradictory positions.

Click title for full article.

David Cameron retreats on European referendum.



This video shows how Cameron started out yesterday, attempting to hold on to his ludicrous line that he would have a referendum only if the Lisbon treaty had not been ratified by all other European countries.

Andrew Marr easily skewers him on his flawed logic. His squirming, as he attempts not to give a promise of any kind, is actually painful to watch. Indeed, it was so painful that by the end of yesterday even he had realised that this was untenable and he had given up on the notion of a referendum altogether.

This, of course, will enrage to Eurosceptics within his own party, so Cameron has set out to assuage them with the promise that he will negotiate in order to bring these powers back to a national level.

In a move to assuage Eurosceptic anger inside and outside his party, Cameron will instead launch a campaign to repatriate powers which the Tories believe should be held at a national level. Cameron is planning to:

• Repatriate social and employment powers to a national level. This would effectively mean restoring Britain's opt out from the social chapter and would need the agreement of all 27 member states.

• Demand greater power over justice and home affairs. Under Lisbon these are voted on under a system which gives no member state a veto. France and Germany are likely to resist change here because it would mean unpicking this part of the treaty which gives Britain an "opt in" – the right to refuse to sign up to laws in this area.

• Issue a warning to the EU that a Tory government will adopt a hardline stance if its demands are not accepted. This could involve holding a UK referendum on Cameron's more modest proposals or holding up the next round of EU treaties to admit Croatia and Iceland into the union.

So, in order to placate Dan Hannan and the other Eurosceptic nutters which Cameron has aligned himself with, he has set himself up for battles with with Sarkosy and Merkel.

All of this has come about because Cameron, in order to win the Tory leadership contest against David Davis, made a promise to the bonkers wing of his party which Davis was not prepared to make: that he would leave the centre right group in Europe and align himself with the far right fringe.

So, let the games begin.

Vaclav Klaus, the Eurosceptic Czech president, has already signalled that he thinks Cameron has badly played his hand here.
"There will never be another referendum in Europe," he told the BBC after the Irish vote. "The people of Britain should have been doing something much earlier and not just now, too late, saying something and waiting for my decision."
Europe always seems to eat Tory leaders and Cameron steps into his most important party conference with everyone talking about nothing else.

As Michael White puts it in today's Guardian:

Cameron is now close enough to power not to want to give fresh hostages to fortune as he did when outflanking David Davis for Tory leader in 2005. Most politicians learn the hard way that boasts made in opposition often come back to haunt them: welcome to government.

So Cameron and William Hague, who knows at bitter personal cost that Euro-loathing is a low priority for most British voters, seek to get through this week's conference without admitting how weak their negotiating hand is, whatever Prague decides.

Euro-loathing is something which matters greatly to a certain wing of the Conservative movement, but the rest of the country really doesn't get excited about it at all.

Cameron is attempting to ride the back of this particular tiger, but I seriously doubt that he has the skill to do so without the bloody thing devouring him whole.

And now he steps into his final Tory Conference before he possibly becomes Prime Minister with no-one talking about anything else. Having managed to get this far without ever revealing his cards, fate - with the Irish voting yes - has forced Cameron to say what it is that he would do. The end result has not been pretty to watch.

Click title for full article.

Sunday, October 04, 2009

Hi Ho, American Capitalism.



Bernie Sanders is bang on the money here. No-one is arguing that capitalism doesn't do some things very well, but my problem is with the form of capitalism championed by Reagan and Thatcher, which insisted that taxation must be reduced for the very richest members of society in the hope that it would "trickle down" for the benefit of everyone else. It didn't.

During Reagan's tenure, income tax rates of the top personal tax bracket dropped from 70% to 28% in 7 years.
And the result of Reagan and Thatcher's form of capitalism has seen the gap between the rich and poor expand to almost Dickensian proportions.
New data from the CBO show that in 2006, the top 1% of households had a larger share of the nation’s after-tax income, and the middle and bottom fifths of households had smaller shares, than in any year since 1979, the first year the CBO data cover. As a result, the gaps in after-tax incomes between households in the top 1% and those in the middle and bottom fifths were the widest on record.
It used to be that Company Chairmen earned 30 or 40 times the wage of their workers, now they can earn up to 400 times as much. I can see why the beneficiaries of this system think it's a great idea, but I must admit I am always staggered to see people like the tea party protesters and other ordinary working and middle class citizens protesting for the rights of other people to earn 400 times as much as they do. That strikes me as perverse.

And it's interesting, whilst listening to Sanders talk about the European models, to realise that the nations which do accept that they have a responsibility towards their citizens health and education produce the happiest citizens on the planet.
Denmark and five other European countries, including Switzerland, Austria, and Iceland, came out in the top 10, while Zimbabwe and Burundi pulled up the bottom.

Not surprisingly, the countries that are happiest are those that are healthy, wealthy, and wise. "The most significant factors were health, the level of poverty, and access to basic education," White says. Population size also plays a role. Smaller countries with greater social cohesion and a stronger sense of national identity tended to score better, while those with the largest populations fared worse. China came in No. 82, India ranked 125, and Russia was 167. The U.S. came in at 23.

Reagan and Thatcher's capitalism takes no account of happiness, instead preferring to concentrate on an individuals right to create wealth, rather than on the quality of life which all of their nation's citizens enjoy.

It is, as Sanders rightly identifies it here, “an unfettered, cowboy-type capitalism” which denies collective rights - with Thatcher famously going so far as to state, "There is no such thing as society" - and implying that you are, for the most part, on your own.

It might make some people very rich, but it's not very good at making people happy.

Fox's Latest Claim.

This image was actually broadcast by Fox News.

I mean, seriously, can there be any doubt that they are now simply the broadcasting wing of the Republican party?

The last time I checked the US had a population of 307 million people. Fox are now claiming that around half of them are unemployed?

Nor should anyone expect any kind of apology from Fox as this is simply what they do. When Foley and other Republicans are caught up in sex scandals Fox routinely change the "R" after their name on-screen to a "D".

Sure, these mistakes happen, but they happen so often on Fox that it has come to seem routine.

49 per cent of voters "don't really know what David Cameron stands for".

Sticking with the subject of Cameron, if I may, a recent opinion poll has revealed what many of us suspected: Cameron's popularity is based solely on the fact that he is not Gordon Brown, with a huge amount of Brits admitting that they have no idea what it is that he stands for. Which, when one considers the fact that he has been Tory leader for almost four years, is an almost staggering achievement.

But the poll revealed that 49 per cent of voters "don't really know what David Cameron stands for", against 47 per cent who said they did. Among C2, D and E voters – the typical readership of The Sun – the proportion is even higher – 53 per cent.

This finding echoes research by the IoS into Mr Cameron and his party's policies on a number of key areas. It also suggests that voters are still confused after nearly four years of his leadership which began with his striking decontamination strategy but has ended with the Tories giving more prominence to their party's more traditional positions on law and order, Europe, immigration and public spending.

It's no wonder voters are confused because the early Cameron was a sort of "Hug a Hoodie", "Vote Blue, Go Green" amalgam of everything that the Tories were not. He was promising to take his party in a whole new direction, but then the credit crunch took place and Cameron's Tory party began to sound very like "the nasty party" which he had been elected to transform.

Suddenly, massive cuts in social spending seemed to be the order of the day and Cameron was actually arguing - and he was unique almost world-wide in making this argument - that the recession should be allowed to bite as hard and deep as it wanted and that the Tories would not intervene. He chided Brown for wasting UK money in bailouts, which he regarded as throwing good money after bad. It appeared to me at that point that Cameron had not yet grasped the fact that the Reagan/Thatcher economic model - to which Cameron is still clinging - had been utterly discredited. And Brown is right when he states that Cameron, especially when it comes to economics, is leading the "Do Nothing" party, for that was his only proposal during the recent financial meltdown.

On the one occasion when Cameron was asked to make a call - what to do in a credit crunch - he made the wrong call. And, at the moment, we have nothing else of substance on which to judge this man.

Even his hard won respect as a Tory leader who understands the need for his party to embrace environmentalism was undermined when he listed "10 key pledges" last week and not one of them regarded the environment.
Thus Mr Cameron presented a list of 10 "key pledges" to The Sun last week as a thank-you for its spiteful sabotage of Mr Brown's speech: not one of them related to the environment. Greg Clark, the Tory climate change spokesman, in his interview with The Independent on Sunday today, is forced into the feeble defence that green policies are so central to the party's thinking that they do not need to be mentioned.
So, it is no surprise that so many British voters have no idea of who David Cameron is. He really has done an astonishing job over the past four years of avoiding telling us what he stands for at all costs.

The glimpses which we have gained - during the credit crunch or regarding who he chooses to hang around with in Europe - are not reassuring.

And, even though The Sun newspaper have to great fanfare announced that they will back him, the newspapers owner remains unconvinced by what he has so far seen:

In a further blow to Mr Cameron, Rupert Murdoch's biographer Michael Wolff, writing in The Independent on Sunday today, says the owner of The Sun newspaper is sceptical about the would-be prime minister. Mr Wolff quotes Mr Murdoch saying of David Cameron: "I don't take him seriously. Who would?"

Were it not for the fact that the British press are already running with their own narrative that "The King is dead, long live the King" regarding Gordon Brown; then they would be asking much more substantive questions about this Tory leader who may very well be our next Prime Minister.

Such as, what do you actually believe in? I really would like an answer to that question before we sleepwalk this man into No 10.

----

Breakdown of the people in the Eton picture:

1) Sebastian Grigg

2) David Cameron

3) Ralph Perry Robinson

4) Ewen Fergusson

5) Matthew Benson

6) Sebastian James

7) Jonathan Ford

8) Boris Johnson

9) Harry Eastwood

Can you imagine any of them seriously wanting to "Hug a Hoodie"?

Click title for full article.

Tory turmoil over EU as Ireland says Yes to Lisbon treaty.

David Cameron had hoped that the Tory conference in Manchester this week would be a showcase for his "government in waiting", but the Irish yes vote for the Lisbon Treaty threatens to bring out all of the Euro sceptic demons which tore apart the government's of both Thatcher and John Major.

In one way you could be forgiven for thinking that if the Lisbon Treaty becomes law before Cameron takes office then he has managed to avoid a headache, but some Tories are determined that Britain must have a referendum - even if the Lisbon treaty has been ratified into law - and, should the British public vote no, that Britain should withdraw from the Lisbon treaty and - to all intents and purposes - cease to be members of the EU.

Cameron has only gone as far as to promise a referendum should the treaty not be ratified by the time he gains power, but the Irish yes vote now makes that appear unlikely. And already his party's rancid Euroscepticism is beginning to show it's face.

In an intervention that will anger the Tory leader, Johnson [the Tory Mayor of London] said in a Sunday Times interview that voters in this country would be "jealous" of their Irish counterparts if they were denied a say and made clear a vote should be held, even if the treaty had already been rubber-stamped. "I do think it would be right for such a debate to be held, particularly if the upshot of the Lisbon treaty is going to produce President Blair," Johnson said.

Richard Shepherd, a senior Conservative MP and long-time eurosceptic, said holding a referendum was a matter of "honour" and "trust" because the Tories had promised to give the people a say on the Constitutional treaty, which was then reborn as the Lisbon treaty, in their last election manifesto.

The eurosceptic Bruges Group said: "If David Cameron is serious about becoming prime minister then he must show leadership and announce that a retrospective referendum will be held in Britain. This will rule the Lisbon treaty null and void in the UK and withdraw us from its provisions."

But the party's pro-European wing insisted such a move would destroy the UK's relations with the EU, and raise questions about whether it could remain a member. Sir Leon Brittan, the former Tory home secretary and UK commissioner in Brussels, said it would be "ludicrous" to hold a referendum when all 27 member states had ratified the treaty. "You cannot expect the others to untangle the whole treaty. It would be a great error for a new British government to get into this position."

Speaking as someone who loathes the Tory party, I must say I always find it very funny when the subject of Europe starts tearing these buggers apart and the little Englanders start showing their rampant xenophobia.

But, of course, Cameron has only managed to keep the subject of Europe quiet on his own backbenches because he has gotten into bed with some of the most insane right wingers that exist in the European Union. He has maintained the peace by playing to the Euroscepticism of his own party. But with this Irish yes vote, his own party will very likely tear itself apart over this.

Cameron has even gone as far as to state that he will not be making any announcements regarding Europe during the party conference, meaning he does not intend to be bounced into promising a referendum should the Lisbon Treaty be law once he gains power. But that won't please the grass-roots of the party:

The extent of Conservative grass-roots pressure was laid bare yesterday in a poll of Tory members for ConservativeHome.com that showed more than eight out 10 wanted a referendum, even if the treaty had been approved by the time of the next election.

About 39% of the Tories polled wanted the UK to leave the EU altogether. A separate poll by YouGov for Compass, a centre-left pressure group, found that 75% of Tory voters wanted a referendum.

Cameron, like Thatcher and Major before him, is about to find out just how divisive the subject of Europe is amongst the xenophobic little Englanders who make up the majority of the Conservative party.

Click title for full article.

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Conservatives Celebrate America's Loss.

I remember my delight the day London won it's bid to host the Olympics. I just felt really pleased that the city I live in had been successful against so many other fine cities. And yes, I thought that perhaps I might even get to go along and see the opening ceremony.

So the reaction of the American right to Chicago failing to win the right to host the games I find utterly shocking.

They delight in Chicago's failure because they equate that with a failure for Obama. It's the proof that Limbaugh really meant it when he said that he wanted Obama to fail.

I am sure these same people would have applauded as Bush proposed Chicago to host the games, but now that the Democrats are in power they literally want the US to go to Hell in a handcart.

Aren't these the same f#ckwits that used to accuse others of lacking patriotism? If there's anything less patriotic than delighting in your own country's failure, then I'd love to know what that thing is.

Glenn Beck blames godlessness for America's problems.



In a career of batshit crazy statements, Glenn Beck has now hit the jackpot.

All that is wrong with the US is now laid at the door of America's growing atheism according to Beck.

America I have a question for you. Why do you think we are as powerful as we are, or have been? What did we do different than other country's? Are we just superior human beings? No, it is because we recognise God's authority, it says so in our constitution... actually it's in our Declaration of Independence... "all men are endowed by their creator with certain inalienable rights."
So many other country's get it completely wrong. They believe human rights are handed down by some government, some body, some official in the government. It's all about them, not Him. No government can fill the gaping hole inside of us if God is chased out. Maybe we need to stop looking for more social justice and start looking at eternal justice.
I know that there must be an element of this where Beck is playing to his audience, but I have never seen any political commentator make a speech like that on national television.

It's amongst the nuttiest things I have ever witnessed. Religious fundamentalism is fuelling the terrorist threat which the west currently faces and yet Beck chooses to make atheism the reason for America's ills?

Holy shit. (Pun intended)

Row escalates over 'vile' Tory allies.

I've written before about the very strange choice Cameron has made when choosing his bedfellows in Europe, where he has aligned himself with some of the continents most extremist nutters.

Well, it now transpires that he is inviting some of them to attend the Conservatives' annual conference in Manchester next week, which has led to all kinds of protest.

David Miliband, the foreign secretary, yesterday accused Michal Kaminski, the rightwing Polish leader of the Conservatives' caucus in the European parliament, of having an antisemitic and neo-Nazi past. He also said the rightwing Latvian party led by Roberts Zile, For Fatherland and Freedom, was guilty of celebrating Hitler's Waffen-SS.

Leading Jewish figures have condemned the invitation, describing the actions of the Latvian party as "vile".
Quite why Cameron has chosen to align himself with these people is simply lost on me, just as it is lost on so many Tory grandees.

Lord Patten, the mastermind of the Tories' 1992 ­election victory, and former home secretary Lord Brittan both criticise Cameron's tactics, with Patten describing them as "unwise".

Lord Kerr of Kinlochard, a former head of the Foreign Office who was Britain's ambassador to the EU at the time of the Maastricht treaty negotiations in 1991, is also highly critical.

"I do not understand a rigid commitment to impotence," he said. "I do not understand why [the Czech and Polish parties who will form a new group with the Tories] are preferable to Angela Merkel or Nicolas Sarkozy, or why they think the route to influence lies that way."

Lord Wright of Richmond, head of the Foreign Office in Margaret Thatcher's final years as prime minister, questioned Cameron's decision to try to reopen the Lisbon treaty. "It will be a formidably difficult negotiation," he said. "There will be very few allies."

Lord Tugendhat, a European commissioner between 1977 and 1985, said it would be a "great tragedy" if the Tories tried to renegotiate a ratified Lisbon treaty once the party is in office.

Retired diplomats are careful about speaking in public. However, the strength of their language reflects Foreign Office concern that Cameron will trigger the worst crisis yet in Britain's relations with the EU.

Cameron's move has earned him the enmity of the centre-right powerbrokers in the EU, most notably Angela Merkel, the German chancellor. Should Cameron come to power - and it is undoubted that he will - then we are probably going to see the greatest schism in European relations since the forming of the Common Market.

Cameron is in bed with extremist nutjobs in Europe, with people that even Thatcher would have steered clear off.

Lord Janner, chairman of the Holocaust Education Trust, who was a war crimes investigator during his national service, said: "My relatives in Latvia were all murdered by the Nazis and I think it is appalling that anyone would so much as say a good word about the Waffen-SS and those who today follow in their trail.

"It is vile that members of this party have marched in honour of their memory."

Louise Ellman, deputy chair of the Jewish Labour Movement and MP for Liverpool Riverside, said: "I am appalled that a party hoping to become the government of the country associates itself with such extremists.

"I think that members of the Jewish community here will feel utter disgust and incredulity that a mainstream party wants to be linked with such groups."

William Hague has condemned Miliband's claim with possibly the funniest sentence I ever read from a British MP.
"There is a real danger that you could damage relations with Latvia."
So, at the dreadful risk of "damaging relations with Latvia" - and all the horrors which would follow from a diplomatic tear of that magnitude - I will state that I think the Tories are foolish in the extreme to be getting into bed with these far right nutcases.

And, if Cameron's choice of European allies is any indication of where he stands politically, then we are sleepwalking towards disaster.

Click title for full article.

US paid reward to Lockerbie witness, Abdelbaset al-Megrahi papers claim.

Two witnesses in the case against Abdelbaset al-Megrahi were secretly given rewards of up to $3 million by the US government, which is one of the reasons why the conviction against him was considered unsafe.

The documents published online by Megrahi's lawyers today show that the US Department of Justice (DoJ) was asked to pay $2m to Tony Gauci, the Maltese shopkeeper who gave crucial evidence at the trial suggesting that Megrahi had bought clothes later used in the suitcase that allegedly held the Lockerbie bomb.

The DoJ was also asked to pay a further $1m to his brother, Paul Gauci, who did not give evidence but played a major role in identifying the clothing and in "maintaining the resolve of his brother". The DoJ said their rewards could be increased and that the brothers were also eligible for the US witness protection programme, according to the documents.

The previously secret payments were uncovered by the Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission (SCCRC), which returned Megrahi's conviction to the court of appeal in 2007 as a suspected miscarriage of justice. Many references were in private diaries kept by the detectives involved, Megrahi's lawyers said, but not their official notebooks.

The entire Scottish legal system has been under pressure from the Obama administration for their decision to release Megrahi on humanitarian grounds, once he was found to be suffering from terminal cancer.

But Megrahi's conviction has always been a subject of controversy, with people as influential as Nelson Mandela pleading his innocence and demanding his transfer to a Muslim country.

The news that US authorities paid witnesses to testify against Megrahi only makes the conviction against him look even less safe.

A memo written by "DI Dalgleish" to "ACC Graham" in 2007 confirms the men received "substantial payments from the American authorities".

The inspector claims the rewards were "engineered" after Megrahi's trial and appeal were over, but said there was "a real danger that if [the] SCCRC's statement of reasons is leaked to the media, Anthony Gauci could be portrayed as having given flawed evidence for financial reward."
And there is, indeed, evidence that Gauci changed his story several times:

In 23 police interviews, Gauci gave contradictory evidence about who he believed bought the clothes, the person's age, appearance and the date of purchase. Two identification experts hired by Megrahi's appeal team said the police and prosecution breached the rules on witness interviews, using "suggestive" lines of questioning and allowing "irregular" identification line-ups.

It would obviously have been better for all concerned had this been examined in a court of law, but the fact that Megrahi was dying made this impractical.

However, it should be apparent from the release of this evidence that the case against Megrahi was nowhere near as clear cut as many Americans seem to believe that it was.

Click title for full article.

Krauthammer Times It Very Badly.

I wondered yesterday how the naysayers would react to the news that Obama had achieved more in one day of negotiating than George W. Bush achieved in eight years of sabre rattling.

Charles Krauthammer couldn't even wait till negotiations were over before he dismissed them as worse than useless:

Confusing ends and means, the Obama administration strives mightily for shows of allied unity, good feeling and pious concern about Iran's nuclear program -- whereas the real objective is stopping that program. This feel-good posturing is worse than useless, because all the time spent achieving gestures is precious time granted Iran to finish its race to acquire the bomb.

Don't take it from me. Take it from Sarkozy, who could not conceal his astonishment at Obama's naivete.
And, just as he dismissed Obama's chances of getting Iran to agree to nuclear inspections, likewise, he is dismissive of Obama's hopes of securing a nuclear free world. He berates Obama for deciding not to reveal the knowledge he had of the facility at Qom because Obama wanted to concentrate on the deal he had struck with Russia to reduce the number of both country's nuclear warheads. This strikes Krauthammer as typical of Obama's childishness, and he cites Sarkosy as proof that he is right and Obama is wrong:
The French and the British were urging him to use this most dramatic of settings to stun the world with the revelation and to call for immediate action.

Obama refused. Not only did he say nothing about it, but, reports the Wall Street Journal (citing Le Monde), Sarkozy was forced to scrap the Qom section of his speech. Obama held the news until a day later -- in Pittsburgh. I've got nothing against Pittsburgh (site of the G-20 summit), but a stacked-with-world-leaders Security Council chamber it is not.

Why forgo the opportunity? Because Obama wanted the Security Council meeting to be about his own dream of a nuclear-free world. The president, reports the New York Times citing "White House officials," did not want to "dilute" his disarmament resolution "by diverting to Iran."

Diversion? It's the most serious security issue in the world. A diversion from what? From a worthless U.N. disarmament resolution?

The cynicism of the right wingers is so hard wired into them, it has become such a sign of their supposed "seriousness", that they dismiss anyone who thinks that there might be another way as naive in the extreme. Krauthammer produced this article on the very day that Iran agreed to inspections and to sending their uranium to be processed in a third country. On the very day when Obama got Iran to agree to this, Krauthammer was accusing him of "adolescent mindlessness" for daring to believe that there might be a more rational way to behave than the neo-con path of confrontation and force.

Certainly, regarding both Iran and Russian nuclear weapons, all the signs at the moment are that the Obama method is proving much more successful than the neo-con methods employed by the Bush regime. Which is why it is the greatest irony that Krauthammer should produce this cynical diatribe on the very day when Obama's positivism triumphs over the negativism and cynicism which Krauthammer has applauded for the past eight years.

The Bush years and the methods which they employed produced nothing in terms of a deal with Iran, indeed, they simply allowed Iran to go on enriching uranium because Bush insisted that Iran give up all of it's rights under the NNPT before talks of any kind could take place.

Obama, in one day, has shown that more can be achieved by treating your opponents as adults than can be achieved by bullying and threats.

Listen to Krauthammer's shock when he describes Obama's vision:
After all, just a day earlier in addressing the General Assembly, Obama actually said, "No one nation can . . . dominate another nation."
That's shocking to Krauthammer because he believes bullying is the only way. He wants the US to dominate other nations. He regards negotiation as weakness.

Thankfully, Obama is showing that there is a much more productive way to proceed. And it is the deranged right wingers with their fixation on world domination who are exhibiting "adolescent mindlessness".

Click title for Krauthammer's diatribe.

Friday, October 02, 2009

Media Matters' Burns: Fox News Is "No Longer A News Organization. This Is A Political Organization"



Eric Burns gets it spot on here when he argues that "the Bush administration in exile" over at Fox News can no longer even be called a news organisation. It is a political organisation and it's becoming impossible to pretend that it's not.

It's now stopped even pretending that it's not the broadcasting wing of the Republican party with it's daily rants against the Obama administration and it's attempts to turn the tea parties into a genuine people's revolt against Obama's "socialism". The simple truth is that if the Republican party themselves were to take over Fox, it's content would not change an iota. That's how right wing that channel has now become.

Rep. Grayson - GOP Are A Bunch Of Neanderthals.



The one good thing that has come out of the health discussion in the United States is that I got to learn of Weiner, a Democrat prepared to come out and make an intelligent argument for health care for all.

And now, we have Grayson coming out and attacking the Republicans as "knuckle dragging Neanderthals." So, if nothing else has come out of all of this, I have at least discovered two Democrats who are prepared to stand up to this Republican nonsense over healthcare and call their behaviour out as the obstructionism which it blatantly is.

Did he go too far when he said that the Republican health plan essentially was "Hurry up and die"? Yes, of course he did. But only because he suggested that they care how long it took you to perish. The truth is that, once an insurance company deny a patient care, they don't care what happens to that patient at all, they care only about their own profits. It's no skin off of their nose if you take years to die. But, apart from that one quibble, Grayson is spot on when he says that the Republicans are bringing nothing to the table on this debate because they are in the pockets of these insurance companies.

Iran agrees to send uranium abroad after talks breakthrough.

After years of the Bush regime demanding that Iran stop spinning it's centrifuges before negotiations can take place, the new Obama policy of simply talking to Iran appears to be yielding results.

Iran agreed in principle today to export much of its stock of enriched uranium for processing and to open its newly revealed enrichment plant to UN inspections within a fortnight.

The agreements, struck at negotiations in Geneva with six major powers, represented the most significant progress in talks with Tehran in more than three years, and offered hope that the nuclear crisis could be defused, at least temporarily.

Western officials cautioned that the preliminary agreements could unravel in negotiations over the details. But if the deals are completed, it will push back the looming threat of further sanctions and possible military action.

I have been critical of the way the Obama administration made such a big deal out of the plant at Qom, which I thought was overly dramatic, but the end result is the end result, and that's not to be sniffled at.

Obama's approach appears to be succeeding, which is nothing short of jaw dropping after decades of distrust between these two nations.

A full day of talks in a lakeside villa just outside Geneva included the most senior and substantive bilateral meeting between an American and an Iranian official for three decades. At a lunchtime break in the proceedings, the US delegate, William Burns, took aside Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Saeed Jalili, for a one-to-one chat that lasted 40 minutes.

At the end of the negotiations, the EU foreign policy chief, Javier Solana, on behalf of the six-nation group – known as the E3+3 and consisting of Britain, France, Germany, the US, Russia and China – said the meeting "represented the start of what we hope will be an intensive process".

The most concrete, and potentially most significant, gain from the Geneva talks was an agreement in principle that Iran would send a significant quantity of its stockpile of low-enriched uranium (LEU) for further enriching and processing in Russia and France respectively, so that it could be used as fuel in its research reactor in Tehran, which makes isotopes for medical uses. President Barack Obama said yesterday: "Taking the step of transferring its low-enriched uranium to a third country would be a step towards building confidence that Iran's programme is peaceful."

If Iran agree to allow a third nation to process it's uranium from below 5% purity to 20%, then it would be highly unlikely that Iran could ever use such uranium for a nuclear weapon. So, the entire question of Iran wanting to build a nuclear bomb could be answered in the negative.

Obviously we must be cautious, Iran needs to take these steps rather than simply promise that it will do these things, but the signs so far are incredibly positive.

I wonder what Joe Lieberman and Benjamin Netanyahu will do now? How will they manage to find a negative in the midst of such a positive outcome? Will they attack Obama's naivete? How soon before they argue that other sites must exist for the real task of building the bomb?

They have viewed Iran as evil for over three decades, and it simply doesn't suit their purposes for Iran to be behaving so sensibly, so I can only imagine where they are going to go from here.

Click title for full article.

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Rachel Maddow: Republicans Now Pretending to be the Champions of Medicare.



One of the hardest things to take seriously during the current healthcare debate in the US, is the Republicans attempting to portray themselves as the defenders of Medicare.

This simply ludicrous. The Republicans have spent the last fifty years decrying Medicare and now, with a cynicism which appears extreme even for them, they are attempting to portray themselves as some kind of Medicare champion. Only the most woefully misinformed Americans could listen to this bunkum without feeling the need to openly laugh in their faces.

Hat tip to Crooks and Liars.

Georgian president Mikheil Saakashvili blamed for starting Russian war.

At the time I felt as if I was living in a parallel universe. I was reading Bush and McCain talking as if Russia had attacked Georgia, whilst all the facts that I could gather led me to the opposite conclusion.

Well now an EU-commissioned report has come out, laying the blame for the war squarely at the feet of the Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili.

But the conclusions will discomfit the western-backed Georgian leader, Saakashvili, who was found to have started the war with the attack on Tskhinvali, the South Ossetian capital, on the night of 7 August last year, through a "penchant for acting in the heat of the moment".

The war started "with a massive Georgian artillery attack", the report said, citing an order from Saakashvili that the offensive was aimed at halting Russian military units moving into South Ossetia.

Flatly dismissing Saakashvili's version, the report said: "There was no ongoing armed attack by Russia before the start of the Georgian operation ... Georgian claims of a large-scale presence of Russian armed forces in South Ossetia prior to the Georgian offensive could not be substantiated ... It could also not be verified that Russia was on the verge of such a major attack."

I was stunned at the time at the way which Bush and McCain dismissed the truth and worked from the premise that Russia is our enemy and, therefore, Russia must be in the wrong.

If I remember correctly, McCain got around the small matter of who started the conflict by stating - and I am paraphrasing - "It doesn't matter how this started, but Russia have overreacted."

Of course, this conflict flared during the election between McCain and Obama and the Republicans saw this as a way to make Obama look weak on national defence, so the truth was literally thrown out of the window.

And I was astonished to witness Labour sending David Miliband to Georgia during this period, in what I could only conclude was an attempt to out-Tory the Tories, and declare that Georgia should become a member of Nato. That was an act of utter idiocy as I argued at the time:
The west has found itself in a bind over Georgia, not wanting to be seen to bow to Russia, and yet unwilling to go to war. Miliband and others are arguing that Georgia should be allowed to join Nato, which is an explicit promise that, should this situation occur again, we would be willing to go to war over it.

My question is very simple. If there is some great principle at stake here, why aren't we willing to go to war now? Why do we believe that membership of Nato would stop any future Russian response to Georgian aggression? And why should Russia buy this silly illogical premise?
The truth was, as the EU report has found, that Russia had not been the aggressor. Mikheil Saakashvili, seizing the moment when Putin was sitting with Bush at the Chinese Olympics, decided to strike.

What followed from that moment onwards was a succession of lies, told by politicians and repeated by many newspapers, that made Georgia out to be the victim of aggression by a stronger neighbour.

That was simply not true.

The investigators criticised and condemned Russian conduct and policy in the months and years leading up to the war and its behaviour since. But on the issues of who started what when, the report was unequivocal. The Georgian offensive against Tskhinvali was not justified under international law.

"It is not possible to accept that the shelling of Tskhinvali with Grad multiple rocket launchers and heavy artillery would satisfy the requirements of having been necessary and proportionate."

We knew McCain was a dreadful liar during the campaign against Obama, but what this report tells us is that he was not alone.

Lots of politicians across the political spectrum chose to portray this conflict in a way which suited their political beliefs rather than according to what actually happened. At last, this EU report confirms what many of us said at the time: Georgia started the war.

UPDATE:

Glenn Greenwald has a very good take on just how widespread Republican lying was during this invasion with almost all of them publicly stating the very opposite of what was true:

Sarah Palin, ABC News interview, September 10, 2008:

PALIN: For Russia to have exerted such pressure in terms of invading a smaller democratic country, unprovoked, is unacceptable and we have to keep...

GIBSON: You believe unprovoked.

PALIN: I do believe unprovoked and we have got to keep our eyes on Russia, under the leadership there.

Charles Krauthammer, The Washington Post, October 24, 2008:

The second test was Georgia, to which Obama responded instinctively with evenhanded moral equivalence, urging restraint on both sides. McCain did not have to consult his advisers to instantly identify the aggressor.

John McCain, presidential debate, October 7, 2008:

[Putin] has exhibited most aggressive behavior, obviously, in Georgia. . . .We have to make the Russians understand that there are penalties for these this kind of behavior, this kind of naked aggression into Georgia, a tiny country and a tiny democracy.

Washington Post Editorial Page, August 28, 2008:

Those in the West who persist in blaming Georgia or the Bush administration for the present crisis ought to carefully consider those words -- and remember the history in Europe of regimes that have made similar claims. This is the rhetoric of an isolated, authoritarian government drunk with the euphoria of a perceived victory and nursing the delusion of a restored empire. It is convinced that the West is too weak and divided to respond with more than words. If nothing is done to restrain it, it will never release Georgia -- and it will not stop there.

George Will, The Washington Post, August 17, 2008:

Now McCain's rejuvenated hopes rest on his ability to recast this election, focusing it on who should lead America in a world suddenly darkened by Russia's war of European conquest. . . . He should ask Obama to join him in a town meeting on lessons from Russia's aggression. Both candidates favor NATO membership for Georgia and Ukraine, perhaps Vladimir Putin's next victim. But does Russia's behavior cause Obama to rethink reliance on "soft power" -- dialogue, disapproval, diplomacy, economic carrots and sticks -- which Putin considers almost an oxymoron? . . . Until Russian tanks rolled into Georgia, it seemed that not even the Democratic Party could lose this election. But it might if McCain can make it turn on the question of who is ornery enough to give Putin a convincing, deterring telephone call at 3 a.m.

Washington Post Editorial Page, August 14, 2008:

YOU MIGHT think, at a moment such as this, that the moral calculus would be pretty well understood. . . . Yet, in Washington, the foreign policy sophisticates cluck and murmur that, after all, the Georgians should have known better than to chart an independent course . . . Part of the blame-the-victim argument is tactical -- the notion that the elected president of Georgia foolishly allowed the Russians to goad him into a military operation to recover a small separatist region of Georgia. Mr. Saakashvili says, in an article we publish on the opposite page today, that the facts are otherwise, that he ordered his troops into action only after a Russian armored column was on the move. . . . Moreover, the evidence is persuasive and growing that Russia planned and instigated this war.

Cathy Young, Reason, October 24, 2008:

Last Friday, Salon.com columnist and blogger Glenn Greenwald, one of the Bush presidency's harshest critics, blasted both major party presidential candidates for perpetuating the "blatant falsehood" that Russia launched an "unprovoked attack" on Georgia last August. . . . There is something puzzling about the sympathy for Russia evident in many quarters of the American left-from Greenwald to Noam Chomsky to Alexander Cockburn and Katrina vanden Heuvel in The Nation (not to mention numerous commenters at sites like Salon.com and The Huffington Post). . . . Why the sympathy, then? A knee-jerk reaction that equates hostility to Russia with red-baiting? Or could it be that to some on the left, the cause of sticking a finger in America's eye is progressive enough?

Every single one of those people were talking nonsense. Nor was the truth particularly hard to find. Indeed, all they had to do was Google it. But they chose to see this as an act of Russian aggression because (a) that is what they are hard wired always to do, and (b) because they hoped by turning this into an issue that they might be able to expose Obama as somehow "unready" to lead the US in a dangerous world. They also do this because they know they will get away with it.

The reason they get away with this is because the American press report in an almost constant "he said, she said" style without ever informing their readership that one side is talking complete and utter bollocks.

It's why they talk of death panels and killing your granny, because they are operating in a fact free environment. Until that changes, they have no reason to. You can now literally lie about who started a war and have that printed verbatim without anyone pointing out the fact that what you are saying is 100% untrue.

Click title for full article.

'No credible evidence' of Iranian nuclear weapons, says UN inspector

It feels like deja vu all over again. Mohamed ElBaradei is saying that he has seen "no credible evidence" that Iran is developing a nuclear weapon, just as he told us before the Iraq war that he had seen "no credible evidence" that Saddam possessed WMD.

ElBaradei's words were ignored six years ago by an American administration determined to remove Saddam at all costs, a decision which still haunts the US to this day. The recent language from Obama, Sarkosy and Brown makes me wonder if we are about to repeat that mistake. Oh, don't get me wrong, we won't go to war this time, but we might end up taking action based on threats rather than realities, chasing shadows rather than shining a torch and revealing what is true.

Iran insists its programme is for peaceful purposes, and that there is nothing illegal about a uranium enrichment plant under construction near the city of Qom, the existence of which was revealed last week. Iranian leaders say they did not have to inform the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) until six months before the first uranium was processed.

But ElBaradei, the outgoing IAEA director general, publicly disagreed today, saying Iran had been under an obligation to tell the agency "on the day it was decided to construct the facility". He said the Iranian government was "on the wrong side of the law".

However, ElBaradei rejected British intelligence claims that Iran had reactivated its weapons programme at least four years ago. By making the claims the UK broke with the official US intelligence position that Iranian work on developing a warhead probably stopped in 2003. They said that even if there was a halt, as reported in a US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) two years ago, the programme restarted in late 2004 or early 2005.

British officials had been privately sceptical about the NIE finding since its publication in 2007, but this was the first time they had made detailed allegations about Iran's weapons programme.

So, ElBaradei disagrees with Ahmadinejad's claim that he was under no obligation to disclose the facility at Qom until six months before uranium was introduced to the site, yet he still disagrees with the assessment of the Brits that the Iranians have restarted their nuclear weapons progamme.

This is because ElBaradei deals with facts, he deals with what can be proven. Intelligence agencies have to, by their very nature, deal with what might be.

But it really is tiresome, six years after the Iraq war, to find ourselves once again weighed down with claim and counter claim.

The US, Britain and France need to insist on inspections, and, unlike the inspections which took place prior to the Iraq war, they need to see these inspections as an ongoing way to ensure Iranian compliance with the NNPT. It would be stupid to use the inspections as a way to impose sanctions on Iran, as Iran has already made it perfectly clear that it will not stop it's uranium enrichment process as this process is legal under the NNPT.

Iranian officials say its programme remains non-negotiable, despite five UN security council resolutions calling for Iran to suspend enrichment. Western negotiators say they will push for a date for an IAEA inspection of the Qom uranium plant, and further concrete steps from the Iranian government to restore international confidence in the peaceful purpose of its programme. Failing that, multilateral talks will start on the imposition of more sanctions.

We are right to insist on inspections and to threaten to carry out sanctions should Iran not comply, but we should not go down the George Bush route of threatening sanctions unless Iran agrees to turn off it's centrifuges.

The burden of proof in this instance lies with us. We have to be able to prove that Iran is building a weapon or we have to allow them to do what is legal under the NNPT.

After the shame of the Iraq war, we have lost the right to have our suspicions treated as if they were facts. And, just has happened before the Iraq war, ElBaradei is, once again, telling us that the facts on the ground do not support our assertions.

This time, we should listen.

Click title for full article.