Saturday, November 29, 2008

Republicans & the Very Small Tent.

I'm not sure Cantor actually has any answer to the question of how to make the Republican party more inclusive. There's certainly nothing in this answer which gives that impression.

This is what I thought might happen. They are left with just their core base. And that doesn't bode well for them.

According to exit polling, these groups voted for Obama:

* 95% of African Americans
* 67% of Hispanics
* 62% of Asians

Now if population and demographics were a static thing the republicans might have a reasonable and viable strategy with this approach. McCain did win the popular vote among White people, and did really well among White people over 65 (68%). Unfortunately for them time is not on their side. Those aged 18-29 voted for Obama by over thirty points, which is itself an ominous sign for the future, if you're a republican.

Consider the Hispanic vote alone. After all the anti-immigrant vitriol of the past couple of years the Republicans are pushing away a group which should be at least somewhat inclined to vote for them. And what happened this year? As conservative columnist Linda Chavez put it, Ask the 14 out of 16 hard-line, anti-immigration Republicans who lost their seats this time around to pro-comprehensive reform Democrats how well this worked at the polls. And then consider that by 2050 Hispanics will double in their share of the U.S. population, from 15% to 30%, or in raw numbers nearly tripling from 46.7 million to 132.8 million in 2050. Overall, minorities will become the majority.

None of this can be news for Republicans so they must see the hand-writing on the wall. What is amazing is that they seem incapable or unwilling to do anything about it.
The Malkins of the party will insist that they lost because they weren't conservative enough and that way madness lies.

Hat tip to Crooks and Liars.

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