Sunday, September 28, 2008

Obama opens a six point lead.

Obama's lead in the polls is now solidifying with the Rasmussen Tracker taking him to +6, and the Gallup Tracker placing him at +5.

Both of these results were taken pre-debate and obviously people can be influenced by the subsequent media reaction, but with most media outlets agreeing that Obama had, at the very least, held his own on McCain's strongest debating area, then it is unlikely that McCain will have made much of a dent in those figures.

The Palin factor now appears to have died a slow death with many regarding her as a liability to McCain's ticket rather than a strength.

There's still a lot that can happen between now and election day but, for the first time since this whole process began, the polls are starting to look the way that many of us have thought they should look for a very long time.

Obama had great success during the debate in tying John McCain to the policies of the Bush administration by pointing out that McCain had voted with Bush 90% of the time which made him an unlikely agent of change.

McCain's campaign remains an odd mixture, a rag tag collection of random thoughts with no theme to tie the disparate elements together. One of the oddest moments in the presidential debate was when he sought to portray Obama as a continuation of the policies of George Bush, a thought which was so utterly preposterous that it produced a gasp of spontaneous laughter from Obama.

That laugh was, apart from Obama's "You were wrong" section, my favourite thing in the debate. It highlighted just how desperate McCain has become as he seeks to accuse others of sins which he himself is guilty of.

I worry as to where the McCain campaign will go next once they realise just how serious is the situation in which they now find themselves.

This is the least honourable election campaign that I have witnessed in my lifetime, with McCain's campaign being run by a group of people who appear willing to do or say anything to gain victory. Even normally sedate newspapers have been forced to use the "L" word to describe the orgy of untruths that the McCain camp have indulged in.

Once they realise that their campaign is headed south, there is literally no knowing just how low they are going to go.

So, Obama supporters can leave the first debate pleased at where we find ourselves, but we are going to have to fasten our seat belts, as the McCain camp are going to throw everything but the kitchen sink at Obama in the weeks to come.

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