Sunday, April 27, 2008

Clinton supporters move to Obama.

I've said this a thousand times and it's, to me, so obvious that I am honestly stunned that Clinton supporters cannot see this.

"If this party is perceived by people as having gone into a back room somewhere and brokered a nominee, that would not be good for our party," House Majority Whip James E. Clyburn (S.C.), the highest ranking African American in Congress, warned yesterday. "I'm telling you, if this continues on its current course, [the damage] is going to be irreparable."
This has been the problem with the Clinton plan to rely on the super delegates to give her the nomination. It's a backward plan which is simply never going to occur. For them to hand her the nomination they would have to disenfranchise millions of voters, many of them black, and many of them young people who have entered politics for the first time and who have been energised by Obama's campaign of hope.

The damage done to the party would last for generations, and I don't believe that people like Taylor Marsh can't see that, which is why I find their arguments simply puzzling.

Clinton's camp are arguing that Pennsylvania proves that the Democrats want this battle to go on, but all the indications on the ground are that this is far from true.
More than 70 top Clinton donors wrote their first checks to Obama in March, campaign records show. Clinton's lead among superdelegates, a collection of almost 800 party leaders and elected officials, has slipped from 106 in December to 23 now, according to an Associated Press tally.

"If you have any, any kind of loyalty to the Democratic Party, perhaps you need to rethink your strategy and bow out gracefully in order to save this party from a disastrous end in November," Rep. William Lacy Clay (Mo.), an African American Obama supporter, said in an appeal to Clinton.

James Clyburn has also spoken out about the way the Clinton camp is acting as if the black vote does not matter and the damage they are doing to the Democratic party by acting in this way.
"We keep talking as if it doesn't matter, it doesn't matter that Obama gets 92 percent of the black vote, because since he only got 35 percent of the white vote, he's in trouble," Clyburn said. "Well, Hillary Clinton only got 8 percent of the black vote. . . . It's almost saying black people don't matter. The only thing that matters is how white people respond. And that's what bothered me. I think I matter."
The truth is that, despite Clinton's claims that the momentum is now moving in her direction, the opposite is true. For momentum to be moving in her direction she would win states which she began leading by 25 points by up to thirty points rather than by nine. That's called losing momentum, not gaining momentum.

And, as previous Clinton supporters now start donating to the Obama campaign, it is noticeable that there are absolutely no Obama supporters moving in the direction of Hillary.

Again, that's not gaining momentum, that's losing momentum.

"I think she is destroying the Democratic Party," said New York lawyer Daniel Berger, who had backed Clinton with the maximum allowable donation of $2,300. "That there's no way for her to win this election except by destroying [Obama], I just don't like it. So in my own little way, I'm trying to send her a message."

The message came in the form of a $2,300 contribution to Obama.

Donors are not the only ones who have made the leap. Gabriel Guerra-Mondragón served as an ambassador to Chile during Bill Clinton's presidency, considered himself a close friend of Sen. Clinton, and became a "Hill-raiser" by bringing in about $500,000 for her presidential bid.

But he had a fitful few weeks as the battle between Clinton and Obama turned increasingly negative. Last week, he decided he had seen enough.

"We're just bleeding each other out," Guerra-Mondragón said when asked why he had decided to join Obama's finance committee. "Looking at it as coldly as I can, I just don't see how Senator Clinton can overcome Senator Obama with delegates and popular votes. I want this fight to be over -- the quicker, the better."

I have no idea when Hillary is going to bow to the inevitable and concede defeat. I do know that she cannot win and that she can cause terrible damage to Obama and to the Democrats chances in November the longer she continues battering the presumptive nominee.

The truth is that Hillary and her supporters have long ago left logic behind and, ironically, it is they rather than Obama who are now campaigning on "hope". With all the facts against them, that thing they euphemistically refer to as "the maths problem", they literally have nothing else left.

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