Sarah Palin's Iowa trip points to 2012 presidential run.
The Guardian are reporting that Sarah Palin's trip to Iowa is the clearest sign yet that she intends to run for the White House.
I know Andrew Sullivan is convinced that Palin is going to run, but I simply don't buy it. She has already been convincingly beaten by Obama once before, why would she risk failure a second time?There are boxes that US presidential hopefuls have to tick early. They have to start building a campaign team, albeit discreetly. They have to set up a fundraising machine. And they have to visit Iowa, the small but politically crucial state that traditionally kicks off a White House run.
Sarah Palin has ticked the first two and on Friday will tick the third when she is the main speaker at a $100-a-seat Republican dinner in Des Moines, Iowa. The party's sole superstar has not yet said whether she will seek the nomination to take on Barack Obama in 2012. But all the indications point to a run, and Friday's visit is the biggest sign yet.
Democrats may detest her, and so does the Republican establishment, for her perceived lack of sophistication and polarising effect on the electorate. But neither will make the choice in the Iowa caucus. The party activists will, and they are shifting behind her. Long before the contest has formally begun, Palin is fast on the way to becoming unstoppable.
I think she already has what she needs out of all of this; a very conservative audience who simply adore her and a TV/book career which has made her rich beyond her wildest dreams.
I would be amazed if she ran. Don't get me wrong, I would be delighted, as she would be smashed to a pulp in any contest against Obama, but I just don't think even she is dumb enough to set herself up for such a fall.
She likes the attention, as attention at this moment in her life equals money. But, I simply don't buy it that she will go all the way and declare herself a candidate. I'd love it if she did, but I simply can't see it happening.Larry Sabato, director of the political centre at the University of Virginia, refuses to predict whether she will stand. "She does not know herself. She is just keeping the doors open. And she wants to keep all of us guessing. Sarah Palin being Sarah Palin will decide at the last minute, when she feels like it. She is not the sort to have a detailed masterplan, following it from day to day."
Sabato predicts that if she runs, she will win Iowa. "More important is what happens if she is nominated. You are looking at a landslide to the Democrats. There is no one the Democrats want more. Obama would expect to win, even if the economy was bad. She is popular among Republicans but in the country as a whole she is unpopular."
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7 comments:
You seem to have a poor memory-it was McCain who was beaten by Obama-Palin in fact added crowds and excitement to his moribund campaign.I don't think even you are dumb enough not to understand that.
As for her being "smashed to a pulp" by Obama-if he keeps up as he is done so far and his poll numbers drop further then minnie mouse would smash him to a pulp.
I don't think even you are dumb enough not to understand that.
Insult instead of argument, you are a Republican I presume?
As for her being "smashed to a pulp" by Obama-if he keeps up as he is done so far and his poll numbers drop further then minnie mouse would smash him to a pulp.
The notion of that woman beating Obama under any circumstances is delusional. Those who love her see no wrong, the rest see her as what she is.
" Insult instead of argument, you are a Republican I presume? "
OMG good one! lol
You forget that God is her campaign advisor (or at least that's what she calls the voices in her head that tell her to do things).
She ran for mayor and won. She ran for governor and won. She got to backseat drive a presidential campaign, and she's been the laughing stock of two thirds of the country ever since. If she is still thirsting for the spotlight now, after that disaster, I think she runs.
If she does, I'm thinking she embarrasses herself thoroughly in the first debate, loses the primary, and then goes back to throwing poop at the remaining candidates in the hopes of remaining relevant.
Obama on the other hand, has to survive his record. He still has some cards he's hiding up his sleeve, and he does have a lot of accomplishments he can talk up, though most of them are hollow victories. If I were him, I'd cut unemployment benefits back from two years to something reasonable, and wait another six months to distribute the redevelopment funds he's been sitting on. By election time, employment would be way up and consumer confidence climbing. Convincingly devote his second term to cutting costs, and simplifying regulations, and he might have a chance.
She ran for mayor and won. She ran for governor and won. She got to backseat drive a presidential campaign, and she's been the laughing stock of two thirds of the country ever since. If she is still thirsting for the spotlight now, after that disaster, I think she runs.
It will be fascinating to see what she does, SP. My notion that she won't run is based on my belief that she can't be as stupid as she appears.
It is always possible that I am being far too generous to her.
It will be fascinating to see what she does, SP. My notion that she won't run is based on my belief that she can't be as stupid as she appears
Yes Kel-that is fascinating intellectual argument-well done
Yes Kel-that is fascinating intellectual argument-well done
Oh, I feel skewered by the incoherent ramblings of a man who lacks the courage to even attach a name to his comments.
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