Monday, October 15, 2007

Is the NNPT dead?

I'm afraid that I didn't buy the New York Times story that Israel were attacking a Syrian nuclear site in the earliest days of it's development, as it made utterly no sense to me why Israel would be so very coy about what she had done.

The description of the target addresses one of the central mysteries surrounding the Sept. 6 attack, and suggests that Israel carried out the raid to demonstrate its determination to snuff out even a nascent nuclear project in a neighboring state. The Bush administration was divided at the time about the wisdom of Israel’s strike, American officials said, and some senior policy makers still regard the attack as premature.
Perhaps it did happen just as they say. Perhaps even the Israelis couldn't reasonably argue that an imminent threat was coming from a nuclear site which won't be completed for a decade, which is perhaps why they are being so coy about it. Perhaps another reason for the attack was to warn Iran that she might be next.

But even taking Israel at her "leaked-but-never-officially-confirmed" word that this was a nuclear reactor - and adding to this the US and Israel's objections to Iran developing nuclear power, despite this being legal under the rules of the NNPT - one must come to the conclusion that with Israel behaving in this way, and with the US apparently conniving in this Israeli behaviour, that the NNPT is dead in all but name.

I agree with LGM on this one:
The treaty has always been open to charges of unfairness, since it legitimized the nuclear programs of a select number of states while delegitimizing similar programs in other states. This was a deal worth upholding, based on the principle that fewer nuclear states is better than more nuclear states.

The deal also ensured that signatories would have the capability to engage in peaceful nuclear activity, some of which is indistiguishable from the opening steps of a long term weapons program. American complicity in this strike means that the deal is as good as dead, and has been replaced by a de facto arrangement in which states that the US approves of are allowed to have nuclear power, while states we dislike get airstrikes.
Remember, one of the obligations of the NNPT was, not only that states should desist from acquiring nuclear weapons, but that nuclear states should take steps to disarm. It was bad enough when the United States announced their plans to build a new range of bunker busting nuclear weapons, which is illegal under the treaty, or when Blair announced a new range of Trident submarines, again sending the signal that the NNPT was for others to obey whilst we carried on regardless building our new nuclear arsenals.

However, Israel's attack on Syria - if, indeed, it was an attack on the kind of facility they claim - takes preventative strikes into a new area altogether.

We are now being asked to accept that it is legitimate for Israel to attack another country because they may represent a threat ten years down the line.

And this attack is being carried out by a nation which is herself a nuclear power who refuses to sign up to the NNPT.

This is now becoming a nuclear club where certain nations have reserved for themselves the right to possess certain weapons and also the right to attack other nations if they attempt parity. We no longer even pretend that there is any sense of fairness to this arrangement. It is do as we say, not as we do.

No wonder no official from the US or Israel will go on the record here. This is simply shameful and immoral bullying.

4 comments:

Unknown said...

US and Israel's objections to Iran developing nuclear power

Where have the US and/or Israel stated that they are opposed to Iran having a peaceful nuclear energy program? They have stated quite plainly that they are against Iran having a nuclear weapons program, and this of course would be against the treaty.

The treaty has always been open to charges of unfairness, since it legitimized the nuclear programs of a select number of states while delegitimizing similar programs in other states.

The non-nuclear weapons nations weren't forced at gunpoint to sign on to the treaty, so claims of unfairness are nothing more than whining.

We are now being asked to accept that it is legitimate for Israel to attack another country because they may represent a threat ten years down the line.

Who has asked anyone to accept it as "legitimate"? And for that matter, who defines what is "legitimate"?

We no longer even pretend that there is any sense of fairness to this arrangement.

You seem pretty caught up on what you believe is or isn't fair. Nobody ever claimed the NNPT was "fair", and all signatories had the option not to sign.

Kel said...

Where have the US and/or Israel stated that they are opposed to Iran having a peaceful nuclear energy program?

Neither the US nor Israel have ever proven that Iran have a nuclear weapons programme. And yet they are objecting to Iran's nuclear programme because they fear it might develop into a weapons programme. Iran have given assurances that they have no intention, unlike Israel, of ever developing a weapons programme and have allowed inspections of their facilities to allay fears. Israel and the US continue to insist that Iran's nuclear programme is a weapons programme with no proof to back their assertions. So it amounts to opposition of any nuclear programme by Iran.

The non-nuclear weapons nations weren't forced at gunpoint to sign on to the treaty, so claims of unfairness are nothing more than whining.

Of course, they weren't forced at gunpoint to sign the Treaty, but the Treaty guarantees them the right to pursue nuclear energy. Until Israel and the US can prove that a nation was pursuing a weapon then they have no right to attack another nation for pursuing a nuclear programme, and they certainly have no right to do so unilaterally outside of international law.

Who has asked anyone to accept it as "legitimate"?

The very fact that Israel has done so proves that she thinks her actions were legitimate.

And for that matter, who defines what is "legitimate"?

International law defines what is legitimate and what is not. And this is a blatant violation of international law which the US has determined that we should all pretend never happened. Your own country's silence on this matter speaks volumes. But, once again, an "independent" like yourself is found attempting to defend actions that even the right wing lunatic Bush regime balk at trying to defend.

Unknown said...

Neither the US nor Israel have ever proven that Iran have a nuclear weapons programme.

You conveniently left out the EU, who also believe Iran has a nuclear weapons program. The facts are that Iran was offered options to prove that it only wanted peaceful nuclear power, such as having the uranium enriched in Russia as just one example. Further, the Iranians are part of the AQ Khan network, whose purpose was to provide nuclear weapons capabilities, and the other two nations associated with AQ Khan has fessed up. What we do know is that Iran has a nuclear program that they tried to hide from the IAEA in violatoin of the NNPT.

I don't know what intelligence the EU, US, and Israel have concerning Iran's nuclear weapons program, and neither do you. Neither of us is likely to be a party to any "proof" in this matter, unless of course you work for some kind of intelligence agency and you're just not telling us.

Kel said...

You conveniently left out the EU, who also believe Iran has a nuclear weapons program.

The EU have agreed to sanctions in order to stop Iran enriching Uranium. It does not follow that they "believe Iran has a nuclear weapons program". They seek clarification.

I don't know what intelligence the EU, US, and Israel have concerning Iran's nuclear weapons program, and neither do you.

Ah, Jason. Even after the Iraq debacle you are still willing to believe that they have evidence that they are not showing us. You really do have ultimate faith in authority. If they had proof we would have been shown it. The truth is that they have no proof, as even Putin has stated.